Commentary from Dave DurenbergerJanuary 31, 2008 |
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| POLITICS | |||||
| STATE OF THE UNION Attending the traditional assessment of the nation by its head of state and government is always more fun than watching it on television. As you could probably tell from the behavior of the many members of Congress who lined the aisle of the House chamber to schmooze with the President and the presidential wannabes. MN Congressperson Michelle "Big Kisser" Bachman had to forego her aisle seat and traded an autograph for a smooch. Present for the first time was former North Dakota Governor Ed Schafer whose nomination to be Secretary of Agriculture was confirmed by the Senate a few hours earlier. Also present for the first time were the presidential twins. President Bush seemed to enjoy himself, and skipped over any analysis of how well we are doing as a nation thanks to his two terms as our leader. He seemed to have no problem telling the members of Congress what they ought to be doing this year and, as one who has experienced an epiphany of sorts, told them to kick their "earmark" habit by threatening to veto their spending. Like any good enabler's advice (Bush signed spending bills containing 55,000 earmarks totaling more than $100 billion already) he suggests they cut their earmarking this year by 50%. His line about the IRS taking checks or credit cards for advancing tax payments was great. But the amount of time spent trying to prove that his Iraq initiative and all it has cost us a nation (including the 70th Minnesotan whose life was lost last week), was way out of proportion to the public concern about what he or we are going to be able to do about it
TED KENNEDY AND BILL CLINTON If you wanted a race for President between experience and judgment you were getting it; until Bill's narcissism possessed him to save the Clinton's version of experience. Many of us were concerned about Billary Clinton. What might this man do to destroy her effectiveness as a President for us and to the world? Wasn't he busy enough negotiating a $20 million buyout from his friend Ron Burkle over its investments in Dubai? The more Hillary allowed Bill to set her tone, the more we wondered whether she'd even get there because he was undercutting the ground on which she rightfully stood. As we approach February 5 we still don't know. Or whether there is such a thing as momentum.
AND BARACK OBAMA I can't tell you how many of my friends had the same experience watching the TV coverage after South Carolina that I did. The speech and the environment in which Obama delivered it evoked a lot of emotion. As did the concerns we felt as he made his way slowly through a heavy crowd. SEARCHING FOR MEANING HOW MANY POLITICAL INDEPENDENTS ARE THERE IN AMERICA THIS YEAR? MOVING MONEY AND THE WORLD'S EXCESS LABOR FORCE
Thanks to Bush's visit we see "new cities" on an even grander scale dredged out from the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Aqaba. One is left to wonder, not where the money's coming from. We know we're paying for it at the rate of $5 a gas tank full. But what's it doing there and where's it going. We are learning some of its coming back home. Not to you and me, but via Sovereign Wealth Funds, to bail out the investment bankers who have contributed to the economic roller coaster we are all riding this year. CLINTON—OBAMA AND ROMNEY—MCCAIN JUST WHAT REPUBLICANS NEED Former Republican Senator (PA) Rick Santorum told a right radio host, "There's nothing worse than having a Democratic Congress and a Republic President (McCain) who would act like a Democrat in matters that are important to conservatives." KENYA The looting, burning, killing began in Eldoret in the west and is proceeding slowly down the main E-W highway and will be in Nairobi quite soon. This past weekend it reached the area of Naivashu in the Navaru area, a beautiful part of the Rift Valley where you can see for miles on a clear day. Take in the city, beautiful Lake Naivasha, Mt. Longokot, and two national parks: Hellsgate and Longoro. This is where Father John Kaiser's body was found in 2000 after his murder by President Moi's minions. It's the site of Delamere Farms, one of the largest of the old British dairy farms and one of the largest rose nurseries in the country - perhaps in all of east Africa. The only way out is for the President Mwai Kibaki to reach an agreement on the terms of a Presidential election in six months and an agreement on the role of the parliament and the national security forces respectively in the lead-up to the elections and their conduct. NOT IN MY BACKYARD SPORTS STADIA The new Minnesota Twins Baseball stadium in downtown Minneapolis is scheduled to cost Hennepin County taxpayers $350 million and the Twins Baseball club $130 million. HOK Sports Architects are doing both stadia. This week we learned the Twins owner's costs are going up a lot. Someone discovered they were building this 40,000 seat stadium on the former silt bed of the Mississippi River. Indianapolis, like Minneapolis, is often referred to as "fly-over city." Since Indianapolis made a commitment to become the national capitol of amateur sports and to steal the NFL Baltimore Colts, the city - and central Indiana - is booming. Even though Tony Dungy's Indianapolis Colts lost a heart-breaker to San Diego, the team has come up with consistently winning records and last year's Super Bowl title, something we have given up on up here. "We're under the national media radar," says Colts President Bill Polian, but we're not sneaking up on anybody we play. We get most people's A-game." And they are financial wizards. Later this year the Colts leave their 1984 stadium which cost $77.5 million for 55,530 seats, for a new, and much larger, $720 million stadium, geared for the corporate crowd, but paid for by taxes on rental cars, luxury boxes, hotels, motels, and restaurants. |
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| NATIONAL HEALTH POLICY | |||||
BOB BALL PASSES CLINICAL EFFECTIVENESS IS A SCIENCE
We are all waiting for Congress to invest $6 billion in a public/private/Federal Reserve authority in Washington DC. The latest on the bandwagon is the Institute of Medicine. Modern Healthcare replies with a front-page surgery entitled "Read Instructions Before Assembling" followed by a lead story entitled "Sticking to the Recipe." This is not the journal of the AMA, folks. Comparative /clinical/ treatment/cost effectiveness was not invented by health services researchers, even those who help govern America's health insurance plans. It is the scientific research/education/clinical motif of some of the best physicians and surgeons and medical groups in the country. And it always has been. What we need in health policy is, as suggested by the Gawande article, is a Congress and an NIH willing to invest in fostering the science of effectiveness research by professionals already driven by a desire to continually improve clinical outcomes not just the staffing of the bio-med-stem-cell towers of academic medicine. Followed by a commitment from private and public health insurance plans and programs to pay only for safe, effective high value outcomes however arrived at. Out with the cookbook and in with paying for the performance many are capable of, but none but the "brand names" rewarded for. PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY MEDICARE ADVANTAGE PROGRAMS "undermine incentives for efficiency and innovation by failing to exert the kind of financial pressure that maximize efficiency. Although Medicare Advantage plans provide extra benefits, their costs for providing the Part A and B benefit package are demonstrably higher than fee for service." On behalf of the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), its executive director Mark Miller told the Senate Finance Committee this week that "the original vision of the potential of private (health insurance) plans has been compromised and ultimately undermined by successive payment increases to plans." ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATIONS
A good example of that, which has been in the news lately, is Essentia Health and the Benedictine Health System. As of January 1, 2008 Essentia is a $1.2 billion headed for $1.5 billion acute care organization which is a physician led system integrating hospitals, medical clinics, and health management services of many kinds. Essentia recently acquired Fargo, ND based Dakota Clinic (with 21 medical clinics in three states). Its CEO is Peter Person, M.D. Its largest tertiary care hospital is St. Mary's in Duluth. Its former long term care partners in the Duluth Benedictine system are called Benedictine Health System which is the largest Catholic long-term care system in the nation with facilities in seven states. BHS CEO is Dale Thompson, a veteran national long term care leader who has served on national commissions and recently chaired Governor Pawlenty's Veterans Long-Term Care Advisory Commission. As reported in the January 18th Star Tribune, Essentia has also taken the leadership in this area in reducing even the appearance that patients' well-being can be affected by physician relationships with drug and device companies. MEDICAL MARKETS MINNESOTA Meanwhile, medical market whiz Tony Miller and friends launches CAROL their newest medical mall on your lap(top) from which consumers can select conveniently packaged health and medical services with prices to boot. Miller is the genius who created Definity when few gave credence to high deductible insurance and made $300 million selling it off to United Health. The money became Lemhuil Investment and the next level of marketing became Carol. He had lots of help from Dave Wessner at Park Nicollet, proving that health care consumers are a factor to be reckoned with in the future of health system performance. ANOTHER MINNESOTA FIRST On the healthy eating front, University of Minnesota researchers have found the biggest contributors to the precursor of diabetes and heart disease are red meat, fried foods, and diet pop. This is the second big hit diet pop has taken from health researchers recently. They all increase the risk of "metabolic syndrome", a group of symptoms including high blood pressure, high level triglycerides, blood sugar, cholesterol and "fatty buildup around the waist line." And it's MS that creates the serious medical problem. The Board of Health of New York City voted this month to require restaurants in the city which are part of chains with 15 or more outlets nationwide, to show calorie information on their menus and menu board. Another sign of things to come on the "healthy people" front. MENTAL HEALTH IN MINNESOTA But that's still not the getting at the real problems. The problems start with inadequate community response to emerging mental illness. Over-reliance on primary care physicians and the inadequate numbers of mental health professionals is a serious problem here as elsewhere. As unattended problems mount the pressures increase on hospital emergency rooms. Waiting for psych beds is today's biggest ER problem. Experts say our problems are not the total number of in-patient, acute care beds in the state; it's that the problems are in one place (mainly in Minneapolis-St. Paul metro) and the solutions are elsewhere. Importantly, what Minnesotans really need are more intermediate or sub-acute level beds for patients who are ready for hospital discharge, but not ready to go home. And a lot more qualified and compensated mental health professionals. PRAIRIE ST. JOHN is a Fargo-based non-profit treatment company specializing in chemical dependency and psychiatric treatment. To build a new psych hospital in east metro's Woodbury, PSJ must receive legislative authorization because of Minnesota's long standing moratorium on new hospitals. PSJ must also overcome the concerns, and some objections, of Minneapolis-St. Paul health systems which have been arguing for years the need to improve access to and coverage of professional treatment for mentally ill before they become hospital ER and in-patient visitors on a regular basis. But Woodbury's Mayor Bill Hargis has no such problems, as you'd expect. The mayor says the "proposal would be a nice addition to Woodbury's economy and fits well with the city's vision of a medical district." So much for efforts at "transformation" of our health care system and its medical arms race syndrome. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH MINNESOTA'S UNITEDHEALTH reported profits to meet market expectations, but little else for stock market analysts of health insurance plans to cheer about. United's core business in employer-sponsored plans (commercial risk) continued to decline and the economic forecasts are that won't stop. Medical claims costs rose from 79% six months ago to 83.7% this last quarter indicating big pressure on premium pricing or profits. All this puts pressure on United's government business, especially Medicare and Medicaid. Would anyone bet with fiscal pressures on governments at all levels, that realistic payments in either of these areas is possible? With Democrats dictating health financing policy, Medicaid may do somewhat better, but the big Medicare bonuses dictated by sellers of private Medicare Advantage plans aren't in the cards. That leaves United with its ace-in-the-hole - the franchise they have from AARP to sell boomers and the oldsters whatever we need. |
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| THE NEWS FROM LAKE WOBEGON | |||||
Public relations geniuses from the Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul have spent $1.5 million worth of their creative time and decided there is no longer any "value-added" in calling ourselves the "Twin Cities." So, from now on, we Lake Wobegoners will not take our weekend jaunts down to "The Cities," but to Minneapolis or St. Paul. Friends in other parts of the country will be enticed to "Minneapolis St. Paul" and delegates to the 2008 Republican Convention in St. Paul will have to come to Minneapolis St. Paul because little old St. Paul just ain't big enough. I like that just fine. Finally it's done. The Minnesota Twins have helped decide Johan Santana's future and that of the New York Mets. The two-time Cy Young Award winner goes to the Mets - if they can do a six-year, $160 million deal by Friday - and the Twins save a lot of payroll to invest in three 6'5" pitchers and a 6"4" centerfielder who might grow into a Torii Hunter. For the umpteenth time in their 4-5 decades in Lake Wobegon, the Twins will be "rebuilding" but a smart deal may give them the additional raw material they need. STATE OF HOCKEY CRYING'S CONTAGIOUS Worry grows among Wobegoners at news that Congress is attempting to raise the tariffs on Honduran socks, many of which are worn of necessity in our six month winters - sometimes we wear two pairs for the long walks to/from school. Congressman Aderholt of Alabama is adamant about protecting Fort Payne, AL, the "sock capital of the world" from the poor Hondurans. President Bush promised Aderholt and others that if they voted for CAFTA their textile industries would not get wiped out. Fort Payne says they lost 1,500 jobs. For their part, the Honduran sock makers say they'd rather stay in Tegucigalpa making socks than trying to climb that darned wall in South Texas. Some days it doesn't pay for a Republican Rep to get out of bed. |
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| QUOTES | |||||
"We are here on earth to do good for others. What the others are here for, I don't know." "It would be ironic if, just when capitalism seemed to have won the global battle for consumer hearts and minds, its venal banking sector had sown the seeds for its own destruction and replacement by a newly resurgent spirit of socialism and protectionism." "What's missing from the current market is a sense of contrition or remorse, any reflection that 'maybe we should have done things differently.'"
"They feel that Washington is broken. And they've heard time and again promises that haven't been fulfilled by Washington." "My biggest problem is not money or candidates, its Republican morale." "In this era of personalized medicine, it's not just enough to define a new drug. It's also important to understand for whom that drug is appropriate." "I believe that House Republicans, having shown they have quickly mastered the improved tactics of a minority party, need to break tradition and reassert the strategies of a majority coalition." "In the end, Fred Thompson fell victim to his own distaste for all the things candidates have to do to be elected President." "A loss for Thompson's campaign is a victory for conventional wisdom." "As soon as we take back the majority, that's when I am going to get a haircut." |
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| UPCOMING EVENTS | |||||
The most informative health policy event of the year in Washington DC is "Getting to Universal Health Insurance." It will be held at the National Press Club on January 31 - February 1, 2008 and is sponsored by the National Academy of Social Insurance. It draws in almost every important policy topic and the nation's best recognized experts. On February 7th, the Health Care UST MBA will hold a workshop on "Board Effectiveness in Health Care." This interactive workshop will feature a panel of board experts and an audience of current and future board members to discuss the common challenges and successes of working with health care boards. It will take place at the University of St. Thomas in Minneapolis February 7, 2008 from 4-6:30 p.m. Please visit their website for more information and registration. Former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle will discuss his new book and bi-partisan approach to health care reform at the University of St. Thomas on March 12, 2008. More information about this event can be found on NIHP's website. |
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| © 2008 National Institute of Health Policy |